{"id":4662,"date":"2018-09-23T13:18:35","date_gmt":"2018-09-23T10:18:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:8080\/?p=4662"},"modified":"2026-10-19T10:35:48","modified_gmt":"2026-10-19T07:35:48","slug":"yeni-orta-vadeli-program-hakkinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/yeni-orta-vadeli-program-hakkinda\/","title":{"rendered":"Yeni Orta Vadeli Program Hakk\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Meclis ba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z Say\u0131n Timur ERK\u2019in talebi do\u011frultusunda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yaz\u0131y\u0131 bilgilerinize sunar\u0131m.<\/p>\n<p><i><em>YEN\u0130 ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM 20.09.2018<\/em><\/i><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00dclkemizde daha \u00f6nce de \u00e7ok say\u0131da Orta Vadeli Program a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f, ancak bu Programlarda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen hedefler \u00e7o\u011fu kez revize edilmi\u015f, buna ra\u011fmen \u00e7ok az\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. D\u0131\u015f ve i\u00e7 ekonomik ko\u015fullar \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in de sapmalar fazla tepkiye yol a\u00e7mam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak bu kez Orta Vadeli Program\u2019dan \u00e7ok \u015fey beklenmektedir. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc ekonomik durum \u00e7ok farkl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Merkez Bankas\u0131, faiz hadlerini 6,25 puan artt\u0131rarak kurlar\u0131 ve enflasyon art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 dizginlemede ve finansal istikrar\u0131 sa\u011flamada \u00f6nemli bir ad\u0131m atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. TL k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir \u00f6l\u00e7ekte de olsa de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f, Borsa y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde de olumlu bir alg\u0131 yarat\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ama faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bilinmektedir. Ekonominin as\u0131l sorunlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc i\u00e7in yap\u0131sal \u00f6nlemler gerekmekteydi. \u00dclkenin, 50 milyar dolar civar\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi beklenen cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n finansman\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda bir y\u0131l i\u00e7inde \u00f6deme vadesi gelen yakla\u015f\u0131k 180 milyar dolar borcu vard\u0131r. Bunun 81,3 milyar dolar\u0131 \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r finans kurulu\u015flar\u0131na, 64,8 milyar dolar\u0131 banka d\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u015firketlere ve 32,9 milyar dolar\u0131 kamuya aittir. Bu bor\u00e7lar\u0131n finansal itibar\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6denmesi gerekmektedir.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ancak k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir ekonomiye sahip \u00fclkemizin bu bor\u00e7lar\u0131 yeniden yap\u0131land\u0131rmas\u0131 zordu ve \u00e7e\u015fitli nedenlerle IMF\u2019e ba\u015fvurmayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. D\u0131\u015f kaynak giri\u015fleri de ge\u00e7en y\u0131la nazaran azalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>D\u00f6viz bor\u00e7lusu \u015firketlerin bor\u00e7lar\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kazanan d\u00f6vizler dolay\u0131s\u0131yla zaten artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131, \u00f6deme g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7ine girmi\u015flerdi. Bankalar\u0131n ise sorunlu kredileri y\u00fckselmi\u015fti ve ek sermayeye ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyorlard\u0131. D\u0131\u015f kaynak imkanlar\u0131 daralm\u0131\u015f, bol ve ucuz para d\u00f6nemi sona ermi\u015fti. Bankalar\u0131n art\u0131k eskisi gibi bol kredi verme imkan\u0131 yoktu. Tam aksine art\u0131k ya y\u00fcksek faizle kredi veriyorlar veya hi\u00e7 kredi vermiyorlard\u0131. \u015eirketler bu y\u00fczden g\u00fcnl\u00fck i\u015flerini bile \u00e7evirecek kaynak bulam\u0131yorlard\u0131. Bir yandan da fiyatlar\u0131n s\u00fcrekli art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermesi nedeniyle i\u00e7 talep te gerileme ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>\u0130\u00e7eride b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131 da giderek art\u0131yordu. Ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme e\u011filimi ile vergi gelirlerinin azalmas\u0131 s\u00f6z konusuydu ve zaten artan fiyatlarla s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131 i\u00e7ine giren vatanda\u015flara yeni y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fckler getirilmesi zordu. \u0130\u015ften \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lma endi\u015fesi ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Kabul edelim ki, yukar\u0131da ge\u00e7mi\u015f zaman vurgusuyla sayd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z hususlar bug\u00fcn de ge\u00e7erlili\u011fini korumaktad\u0131r. B\u00fct\u00fcn \u00e7evreler, bankalara ek sermayenin ne \u015fekilde verilece\u011fini, sorunlu kredilerin nas\u0131l \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclece\u011fini, hangi alanlarda ciddi tasarruflara gidilece\u011fini, artan kredi faizleri ile nas\u0131l yat\u0131r\u0131m yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, do\u011frudan yabanc\u0131 sermaye giri\u015flerinin artmas\u0131 i\u00e7in neler yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, g\u00fcven ve istikrar\u0131n nas\u0131l sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bu defaki OVP\u2019den bekliyordu.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Ve yeni Orta Vadeli program a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Program \u00e7ok kapsaml\u0131d\u0131r ve hemen hemen ekonominin b\u00fct\u00fcn sekt\u00f6rlerini kapsamaktad\u0131r. K\u0131saca \u00f6zetlersek, b\u00fcy\u00fcme bu y\u0131l, 3,8 gelecek y\u0131l, 2,3 ve sonraki y\u0131l 3,5 olacak, enflasyon bu y\u0131l 20,8 daha sonra s\u0131ras\u0131yla 15,9 ve 9,8 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecektir. Bankalar\u0131n reel sekt\u00f6r\u00fc daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde finanse edebilmesi i\u00e7in mali b\u00fcnyeleri de\u011ferlendirilecek ve gerekirse yap\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirilecektir. Yat\u0131r\u0131m kararlar\u0131nda cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azalt\u0131c\u0131, teknoloji i\u00e7erenlere \u00f6ncelik verilecektir. \u0130hracatta yeni \u00fcr\u00fcn ve yeni pazar aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131na gidilecektir. Dolayl\u0131 vergilerin oranlar\u0131 azalt\u0131lacakt\u0131r. 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda ihaleleri yap\u0131lmam\u0131\u015f veya ihaleleri yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f t\u00fcm projeler ask\u0131ya al\u0131nacakt\u0131r. Programda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen hedeflerin say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rmak m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Zaten Program daha uzun s\u00fcre detaylar\u0131 ile tart\u0131\u015f\u0131laca\u011fa benzemektedir.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>B\u00fcy\u00fcme oranlar\u0131n\u0131n makul d\u00fczeyde tutulmas\u0131 do\u011frudur. Aksi d\u0131\u015f kaynak ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131racakt\u0131r. Yap\u0131m\u0131na ba\u015flanmam\u0131\u015f projelerin ask\u0131ya al\u0131nmas\u0131 da do\u011frudur. Ayn\u0131 \u015fey yat\u0131r\u0131m te\u015fviklerinde cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 azalt\u0131c\u0131 ve teknoloji i\u00e7erenlere \u00f6ncelik verilmesi i\u00e7in de s\u00f6ylenebilir. Bu yolla kaynak israf\u0131 \u00f6nlenebilir. Ekonominin tek elden ve h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde y\u00f6netilmesi olumludur. Hedeflerin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi herkesin arzusudur.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Meclis ba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z Say\u0131n Timur ERK\u2019in talebi do\u011frultusunda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da yaz\u0131y\u0131 bilgilerinize sunar\u0131m. YEN\u0130 ORTA VADEL\u0130 PROGRAM 20.09.2018 \u00dclkemizde daha \u00f6nce de \u00e7ok say\u0131da Orta Vadeli Program a\u00e7\u0131klanm\u0131\u015f, ancak bu Programlarda \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen hedefler \u00e7o\u011fu\u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1395,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[55],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4662","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-duyurular"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4662","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4662"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4662\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4663,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4662\/revisions\/4663"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1395"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4662"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4662"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/kompozit.org.tr\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4662"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}